Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 317.302279 359.786568 407.177959 464.205822 531.287924 608.080138 703.197759
2025-06-29 252.253466 307.078197 373.854931 462.138934 577.236860 724.237307 929.523240
2025-07-06 209.099817 265.944579 339.095197 441.841047 585.235479 782.607105 1082.715210
2025-07-13 191.992540 253.591879 336.752021 460.019828 643.049436 913.177079 1358.876338
2025-07-20 179.690478 245.173139 337.324607 480.568663 705.456512 1059.380357 1690.311340
2025-07-27 164.992972 231.151981 327.484723 483.281670 739.726883 1166.392783 1981.098102
2025-08-03 149.173324 213.525922 309.876991 470.901438 746.698153 1227.897746 2203.616346
2025-08-10 136.581471 199.343375 295.729870 461.757484 756.868940 1295.493911 2452.996804
2025-08-17 130.599170 194.646493 295.748659 475.758208 809.157632 1449.349895 2920.320895
2025-08-24 122.280009 185.403503 287.330810 473.881290 831.594087 1549.008622 3296.875080
2025-08-31 113.915518 175.328701 276.484091 466.192628 841.428669 1624.267631 3637.709425
2025-09-07 108.121532 168.990862 271.325535 468.176802 870.454317 1745.736458 4133.412897
2025-09-14 100.622791 159.357858 259.860906 457.492381 873.083416 1811.733061 4512.433290
2025-09-21 95.157005 152.816215 253.341636 455.727137 894.669574 1927.400963 5080.797106
2025-09-28 87.678766 142.201312 238.529058 435.755738 873.147771 1933.369345 5316.840080
2025-10-05 85.953604 141.632069 242.135518 453.629036 940.159823 2179.523180 6442.918200
2025-10-12 84.576956 141.556705 246.615339 473.828302 1016.236947 2470.274351 7884.257665
2025-10-19 81.211107 137.561763 243.174044 476.494919 1049.927754 2650.996515 9011.023342
2025-10-26 76.473836 130.684496 233.520281 464.325923 1044.077088 2713.515387 9685.310293
2025-11-02 72.450871 124.908203 225.632562 455.337213 1045.263248 2798.756792 10514.961388
2025-11-09 71.030345 124.013104 227.529696 469.099968 1109.848288 3105.580751 12608.288342
2025-11-16 68.183737 120.159466 223.027869 467.255041 1131.028733 3273.804843 14127.015647
2025-11-23 65.010002 115.472115 216.441444 459.697141 1134.781457 3382.703830 15407.421490